GOP Tries To Cut Billions in Health Benefits
The Host
After all-night markups, two key House committees approved GOP budget legislation that would cut hundreds of billions of dollars from federal health programs over the next decade, mostly from the Medicaid program for people with low incomes or disabilities. The legislation is far from a done deal, though, with at least one Republican senator voicing opposition to Medicaid cuts.
Meanwhile, Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. testified before Congress for the first time since taking office. In sometimes surprisingly combative exchanges with lawmakers in the House and Senate, Kennedy denied cutting programs despite evidence to the contrary and said at one point that he doesnāt think Americans āshould be taking medical advice from me.ā
This weekās panelists are Julie Rovner of Ā鶹ŮÓÅ Health News, Julie Appleby of Ā鶹ŮÓÅ Health News, Joanne Kenen of the Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health and Politico Magazine, and Alice Miranda Ollstein of Politico.
Panelists
Among the takeaways from this weekās episode:
- House Republicans this week released ā then quickly ushered through committee ā major legislation that would make deep cuts to federal spending while funding President Donald Trumpās domestic priorities, including renewing tax cuts and boosting border security. A preliminary estimate by the Congressional Budget Office found the bill would cut at least $715 billion from federal health spending over 10 years ā with most of that money coming from the Medicaid program.
- Overall, the House GOPās proposal would make it harder to enroll, and stay enrolled, in Medicaid and Affordable Care Act coverage. Among other changes, the bill would impose a requirement that nondisabled adults (with some exceptions) work, volunteer, or study at least 80 hours per month to be eligible for coverage. But Democrats and patient advocates point to evidence that, rather than encouraging employment, such a mandate results in more people losing or dropping coverage under burdensome paperwork requirements.
- Republicans also declined to extend the enhanced tax credits introduced during the covid-19 pandemic that help many people afford ACA marketplace coverage. Those tax credits expire at the end of the year, and premiums are expected to balloon, which could prompt many people not to renew their coverage.
- And Kennedyās appearances on Capitol Hill this week provided Congress the first opportunity to question the health secretary since he assumed his post. He was grilled by Democrats about vaccines, congressionally appropriated funds, agency firings, and much more.
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Plus, for āextra credit,ā the panelists suggest health policy stories they read this week that they think you should read, too:
Julie Rovner: The New York Timesā ā,ā by Rob Copeland.
Alice Miranda Ollstein: ProPublicaās āā by Margaret Coker, The Current.
Julie Appleby: Scientific Americanās ā,ā by Andrea Thompson.
Joanne Kenen: The Atlanticās ā,ā by Nicholas Florko.
Also mentioned in this weekās podcast:
- Politicoās ā,ā by Alice Miranda Ollstein.
- The New York Timesā ā,ā by Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.).
- NPRās ā,ā by Pien Huang.
click to open the transcript Transcript: GOP Poised To Cut Billions in Health Benefits
[Editorās note: This transcript was generated using both transcription software and a humanās light touch. It has been edited for style and clarity.]
Julie Rovner: Hello and welcome back to āWhat the Health?ā Iām Julie Rovner, chief Washington correspondent for Ā鶹ŮÓÅ Health News, and Iām joined by some of the best and smartest health reporters in Washington. Weāre taping this week on Thursday, May 15, at 9:30 a.m. As always, and particularly this week, news happens fast and things might have changed by the time you hear this. So, here we go.
Today we are joined via videoconference by Alice Miranda Ollstein of Politico.
Alice Miranda Ollstein: Hello.
Rovner: Joanne Kenen of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Politico.
Joanne Kenen: Hi, everybody.
Rovner: And my Ā鶹ŮÓÅ Health News colleague Julie Appleby.
Julie Appleby: Hi.
Rovner: No interview this week because so much news, so we will get straight to it. So, quiet week, huh? Just kidding. The House Ways and Means and Energy and Commerce committees completed all-nighter markups on their portions of President [Donald] Trumpās āone big, beautifulā reconciliation bill. And in fact, Ways and Means is officially calling it the āOne, Big, Beautiful Billā in its summary of the measure.
We will start with Energy and Commerce, which after a 26-hour marathon, one hour short of the record it set in 2017, voted out its part of the bill Wednesday afternoon, including an estimated $715 billion in reductions to health programs, mostly Medicaid, over the next 10 years. Now, the final committee bill does not include the threatened cuts to the 90% match for the Affordable Care Act expansion population, nor does it include the per capita cap for that population.
Nonetheless, it would represent the biggest cut to Medicaid in the programās 60-year history. Guys, tell us some of the things that it would do instead to get to that $715 billion amount.
Kenen: The 715 includes some ACA cuts as well. Itās not 100% Medicaid, but itās largely Medicaid. The biggest one is the one that we knew was almost inevitable given the current Congress, which is work requirements. It is something the Republicans have wanted a long time. In the prior administration, a few states did pass them. Arkansas got going with them. The courts stopped it.
The Medicaid statute is pretty clear that itās about health, not about health for working people. The courts today are different. If I had to guess, I would guess there will be a legal battle and that the courts are likely to uphold work requirements.
Rovner: Weāll talk more about work requirements in a minute. But what else is in the bill?
Kenen: Thereās lots of extra layers of verification. Supposedly, itās about fraud. We can get to the Kennedy testimony later, but there were some assertions that did not add up for me. The biggest thing is work requirements, and thereās other things that will make it harder to maintain coverage, that itās not that touāre getting kicked off, per se. And there are also some copays. There are some copays for the upper rank. Thereās been a lot of information this week. And if I get any details wrong, because weāve all had to absorb a lot in 48 hours, someone correct me. But my recollection was a $35 copay for certain treatments for the people who are on the higher end of the income.
Rovner: Right, meaning over 100% of povertyā
Kenen: Right.
Rovner: ābut still under the level required to qualify for Medicaid.
Appleby: Right. It would require states actually to impose these cost sharings of up to $35 per service. Although theyāre excluding some things like primary care, emergency stuff, that kind of thing, for people in that 100% of poverty to 138% of poverty, and thereās also an upper limit of 5% of the familyās income. But thatās a lot for people in that category.
Rovner: And we know, there is an enormous body of research that says when you put copays on services, people get fewer of them. And itās not like people who are just scraping by have a lot of extra money to spend. So we know that one of the ways that theyāll save money is that people wonāt get services, presumably needed services.
Kenen: Although the primary care exemption is important, because primary care, which also usually includes pediatricians, are considered primary care, can deal with a lot of diseases that you donāt always need to see a specialist. Iām not saying itās a good idea. Iām just saying in terms of an incentive to get basic care, keeping primary care free is an important distinction.
Rovner: Well, I do want to talk a little bit about that work requirement, which Massachusetts Democratic Rep. Jake Auchincloss called not a work requirement but a paperwork requirement. Once more, for those who havenāt heard us explain this 100 times, itās not just people who donāt work who lose coverage because of this. I see you nodding, Alice. Please explain this again.
Ollstein: Yes. So Democrats really hammered over the course of this 26-hour hearing that the only states that have made a foray in this direction so far, Arkansas and Georgia, have seen that these work requirements do not boost employment. They kick people off who should have been eligible because they canāt navigate, like you said, the paperwork. And so it was really striking, over this hearing, where ā I watched from 8 a.m. Wednesday to 2 p.m. Wednesday ā and during that whole time, every single amendment vote was party-line. Nobody crossed in either direction. So this was really a political exercise in Democrats because they were not able to convince Republicans to change or soften the bill at all. They really focused on branding it, branding it as punishing the poor and threatening their health care.
And so they were pointing to what happened in Arkansas, what happened in Georgia, where the work requirements really were successful in only that they cut people from the rolls and saved the states money, not successful in helping people find work or helping people get coverage. They also made an effort to brand the copays issue. I heard Democrats calling it a āsick tax.ā Weāll see if that phrase sticks around throughout this process.
Rovner: So kind of in an interesting twist, the work requirements in the bill donāt become mandatory until the year 2029. That suggests to me that those who voted for this donāt really want it to take effect, but they do want to be able to count the savings to pay for other things in the bill. And then, cherry on top of the sundae, if Democrats want to repeal the work requirements later, they would have to find a way to pay for them, because the savings would get built into the budget baseline. Or is that just me being cynical because Iāve only had like five hours of sleep this week?
Kenen: Well, there are two important dates between now and 2029. One is the 2026 off-year elections, the House elections and some Senate, and then 2028 is the presidential. So thereās several things that have changed politically about Medicaid in recent years, which we can talk to and which Iāve written about quite extensively. One of them is that a lot of people who are Trumpās base are now on Medicaid and particularly that expansion population, and nobody likes having their health care taken away from them, particularly if itās free or very, very heavily subsidized in the lower ranks of the exchanges.
So if youāre going to kick your own voters off of their health care, youāre probably more likely to want to do it after they voted for you again. It is not uniquely cynical. We have seen both parties do similar things over the years, either for budgetary game-playing or for political things. Itās quite notable that this goes into effect in 2029.
Ollstein: Itās just interesting that this is getting criticized from both sides. So Democrats are upset that Republicans want to reap the nominal savings but not have to look like the bad guy. And conservative Republicans are upset that this doesnāt kick in sooner, because they want stricter work requirements even sooner to cut the program even more. So itās pleasing few.
Rovner: Well, as Joanne alluded to, itās not just Medicaid. This bill is also a bit of a stealth assault on the Affordable Care Act, too. Right, Julie? We havenāt talked about it a lot, but this administration seems to be working very hard to make the ACA a lot less effective. And the combination of reductions in Medicaid and changes to the ACA will mean lots more people will be uninsured if this bill becomes law in its current form. Yes?
Appleby: There are a lot of moving parts to this. So yeah, letās back up just briefly and look at March, when the Trump administration did propose their first major rule affecting the Affordable Care Act, and itās called the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act; Marketplace Integrity … itās a long-name rule. Anyway, it does a bunch of things. For one, it shortens the open enrollment period by about a month. So open enrollment would end on Dec. 15. And notably, this would apply to all states that run their own state-based marketplaces, as well as the federal marketplace. So thereās 16 plus D.C. that do that. So they would all also be tied to this. So thatās one of the things that the rule would do if itās finalized in its form.
It would also end a special enrollment period that allows low-income people to essentially enroll anytime during the year. And people who are automatically reenrolled in a zero-premium plan would instead be charged a $5 premium for reenrollment in that same plan until they confirm their eligibility. Now, the Trump administration says that a lot of these rules are in part to try to combat what they say is fraud and waste, and they point to situations where people are being enrolled without their permission or switched to different plans, generally these zero-premium plans, by unscrupulous brokers who are trying to get commissions.
Weāve written a lot about that over the past year. So theyāre saying that, Oh, we need to do this so that people know theyāve been enrolled. The special enrollment period for low-income people they thought was part of that. Thatās disputed by a number of places. And some of the states have pushed back on this, too, and said, Hey, we donāt have this problem with fraud, so why would this now apply to us? Why would the special enrollment period, the shortened enrollment period, etc., etc.?
So those are things in the proposed rule. And the proposed rule acknowledges that it would reduce enrollment by about up to 2 million people in 2026, with coverage losses concentrated in a bunch of states like Alabama, Florida, Georgia, etc. So thatās the proposed rule. And then if you look at the House bill, like, for example, Energy and Commerce, these would codify some of those proposals from that ACA rule. So it would make it harder for a future president to change the rule and that kind of thing.
So those things that are codified would be ā thereād be more hoops to jump through to verify income, for one thing. That special enrollment period based on income would be barred, and the shorter enrollment period would be in it. And if this goes through, these changes are set to go into effect next year. So a lot of insurers and states would have to scramble to try to get this put in place by then. So thatās just a short thing about what some of the ACA effects would be.
Rovner: So, it feels like thereās kind of a theme here thatās going to make it harder for people to get on and stay on both the ACA and Medicaid. Is that sort of a fair way to describe this?
Appleby: Yeah, thatās fair. In the House bills, there are also a lot of things that would bar automatic reenrollment, which a lot of people rely on. People just donāt go back in and sign up for their coverage. Theyāre automatically reenrolled. The bills differ a little bit. The harshest one would require everybody to sort of verify their income before they can reenroll. There would be a lot more of that. So it would essentially bar reenrollment. And we havenāt even talked about the enhanced tax credits, because thatās also sort of fitting here.
Rovner: Which was my, yes, my next question. So thereās been a lot of fighting this week about how many people would lose coverage as a result of this bill, and a lot of it is sort of philosophical fighting. We donāt have final CBO [Congressional Budget Office] numbers yet. We may not have them for another week, I am told. But what we do know is one of the things this bill could do but doesnāt do is re-up those additional subsidies that were installed during the Biden administration, during covid, that basically effectively doubled the number of people who enrolled under the marketplaces, right?
Appleby: It certainly added a lot. Most people who get a subsidy are benefiting from the enhanced subsidies. And remember, these sort of expanded at the lower end and it cut off that cliff at 400% of the poverty level that used to exist where you wouldnāt get a subsidy if you made more than that. So it smoothed all that out. So a lot of people are getting these extra subsidies.
And a lot of the data Iāve seen have said ā Iām looking at an Oliver Wyman report earlier ā something like, if these enhanced subsidies are allowed to expire at the end of this year, which theyāre poised to do unless Congress acts, that, on average, premiums would go up by about 90%. That will be enough to cause a lot of people not to reenroll. So thatās where weāve seen some of these estimates of I think itās around 5 million people may not reenroll as a result of that over time.
Thatās a pretty big number. But like you said, thereās a lot of numbers in the mix, but the enhanced premium subsidies do cost taxpayers. Itās not inexpensive. So if theyāre looking for savings, which they are, Congress may decide not to extend them. But at the same time, many people and in a lot of states that are dominated by the GOP and others, people are getting these subsidies, and it would suddenly be a huge hit to many people to have a 90% increase in their premiums, for example.
Rovner: Yeah, as Joanne said. Which youāre about to say again, right? These are Republican voters now, right?
Kenen: I think thatās more mixed, the upper income within the ACA. Weāve expected that to go away, because thereās a difference between Congress having to yank something away versus something in the law that expires and they have to proactively renew it. We have always anticipated that enhanced subsidies would decline this year. But I just sort of want to point out, during the first Trump administration, without all this coverage, the uninsurance rate rose in the country.
And that even before ā29, there are all sorts of things, with shortened enrollment periods, how much outreach they do, thereās lots of things even before 2029 that we can expect a fairly significant erosion of health coverage. Not to what it was in pre-ACA levels ā itās not going to be that extreme, and not all the benefits that those of us with employer-sponsored insurance also get, some things through the ACA.
So this is not repeal ā itās damage. And itās more damage than they did in the first Trump administration. All of us would be extremely surprised if there was not a significant drop in the number of insured Americans one, two years from now.
Rovner: One of the ways conservatives hope to secure the votes for this bill in the House is a provision that would bar Planned Parenthood from the Medicaid program. This would certainly be popular in the House. But when it was in the Affordable Care Act repeal bill in 2017, the Senate parliamentarian ruled that it couldnāt be included in budget reconciliation, because it is not primarily budgetary. Alice, are House leaders just hoping no one will remember that?
Ollstein: If at first you donāt succeed, try, try again. Yes, I think so. And especially because we just got a new CBO estimate of what the budgetary impact of cutting these funds would be. And itās, like they have found before, it does not save money. It actually costs the government money because people lose access to contraception and donāt have other sources that they can afford to obtain contraception. And itās a lot more expensive to have a baby on Medicaid than to access contraception. So I think that also contributes to the parliamentarian problem.
Rovner: Yes. You can put stuff in reconciliation that costs money, but that was sort of not the intent here. Joanne, you wanted to say something.
Kenen: And we should point out that this is still at the committee level, right? Is it going to get through the House in this exact form? We canāt be sure yet. Is something going to get through the House at the end of the day? Yes. Yes. But is all of this going to get in? Is this the final draft? Probably not. You have moderates who are still, donāt like some of the things in here, and you have conservatives who think it doesnāt go far enough.
As we said at the beginning, as far as it does go, it does not go anywhere near as far as the initial, of some of the things that were being discussed, which really would have ended Medicaid as an entitlement. These are big changes. Theyāre not existential in the same way that a per capita cap or a block grant or blowing up the ACA expansion by changing the rates. There are things they could have done that were far more radical that they donāt have the votes for. Andā
Rovner: But they still can only lose, what, three or four votes and get something through the House.
Kenen: Right. Right. Because Medicaid is actually quite popular, and people in both parties are covered by it. We still donāt know the pathway, what gets through the House at the end of the day. Something does, right? We all think that they will, somehow or other. Not necessarily by Memorial Day, right? But something at some point will get through the House, and we donāt know exactly what it looks like.
Rovner: For the record, Iām still shrugging. I think something getsā
Kenen: And it is a bigger question mark, you know?
Rovner: Which is my next question. What are the prospects for this bill in the Senate? Do we really believe that the very conservative Missouri Republican Josh Hawley would vote against this? He had a piece in The New York Times this week saying, ā.ā&²Ō²ś²õ±č;
Kenen: Heās been really consistent. Have we seen politicians do huge flip-flops in our years of covering Congress and politics? Yes. Heās really out there on this. Itās sort of hard to see how he just says, Whoops, I didnāt really mean it. But right now in terms of whoās out there in public, we donāt have a critical mass of people whoāve said they canāt vote for this. But we do know there are provisions in this very extensive bill that some people donāt like. It will go through changes in the Senate.
I donāt have a grasp and I donāt think any of us have a grasp on exactly whatās going to change. I think work requirements, depending on what bells and whistles are attached, could get through the Senate. There might be changes like making it a state option or redefining certain things with it. I think there probably are 51 votes for a work requirement of some type in the Senate.
That doesnāt mean the way this has been written survives. And thereās just ā these are big cuts. And thereās also, remember, weāre only talking about the health stuff. Thereās a lot. Thereās energy. Thereās all sorts of ā this is a big bill. This is a big, historic bill. Thereās lots and lots of hurdles. We all remember that the ACA repeal, it took several tries. It was really harder than expected. It finally got through the House, and it did die in the Senate. So this is not the last word. We donāt have to shut the podcast.
Rovner: Yes, long way to go. All right, moving on. Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. testified before not one but two committees on Wednesday: the House labor, HHS Appropriations subcommittee in the morning and the Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee in the afternoon. And shall we say it didnāt all go swimmingly. Right off the bat, this was the greeting he got from House Appropriations Committee ranking member Rosa DeLauro of Connecticut. DeLauro basically saying, Everything youāre doing is illegal.
Rep. Rosa DeLauro: Mr. Secretary, this administration is recklessly and unlawfully freezing and stealing congressionally appropriated funds from a wide swath of agencies, programs, and services across the government that serve the American people. And recall that this is a violation of the Constitution.
The power of the purse resides with the Congress. Itās Article 1, Section 9, Clause 7. Yourself and President Trump and Elon Musk are attacking health programs to pay for tax cuts for billionaires. And by promoting quackery, we are endangering the health of the American people with pseudoscience, fearmongering, and misinformation.
Rovner: If you want to hear more, we did a live recap of the hearings yesterday afternoon. You can find that on . But I want to know what you all took away from the hearings. Joanne, you watched most of them, right?
Kenen: I watched a lot of it. I did not watch every minute of both hearings, but I watched enough. And I thought that very first exchange with DeLauro was really striking because she kept saying, over and over and over again she kept saying: Congress appropriated this money. You donāt have the right to not spend it. And he kept saying, If you appropriate the money, I will spend it. And she said, We have appropriated the money, and youāre not spending it. And he said, If you appropriate the money ā¦
And she explained. What a continuing wrestle. It was like this endless ā well, it wasnāt endless, but it was repeated when she kept saying, We appropriated it, and he kept saying, Huh? And she actually said the first time sort of under her breath, but the mic picked it up, and then she said it again. She said, āUnbelievable.ā Sheās not known for understatement, but she said, āUnbelievable.ā And then she said it again. āUnbelievable.ā So that was sort of ā the rest of the day was sort of there.
Rovner: Yeah. I personally found it refreshing that someone finally called out HHS, saying: You know, there was an appropriations bill that got signed by the president, and you are withholding this money. And this is our province. We get to decide how the money is spent. You donāt get to decide how the money is spent. The other big headline that came out of this hearing was when Kennedy said that, after being raked over the coals again about his vaccine comments, he said, Well, you shouldnāt be taking medical advice from me. And Iām like, isnāt that the job of the HHS secretary?
Ollstein: It was very clear that, like in the markups of the bill, Democrats, unless Republicans are willing to cross the aisle and join them, are just left sort of railing against whatās happening and not really having any power to impact it. We did see some Republicans expressing some concern about the cuts that have happened. But unless that turns into real oversight action, real legislative action, I just imagine weāre set up for this to happen again where Congress appropriates and the cuts happen anyway.
Rovner: I was surprised at how much Sen. Cassidy, Sen. Bill Cassidy, the chairman of the HELP Committee, didnāt say. He basically said when he voted for Kennedyās nomination that he was torn. He believes in vaccines. Heās a practicing doctor. He, Cassidy. And he made Kennedy promise that he wasnāt going to change any of these vaccine rules, which heās already done. And heās installed anti-vax people at many levels of HHS. And yet Cassidy was incredibly conciliatory in his opening statement.
And it was left to Chris Murphy of all people, the firebrand Democrat from Connecticut, to basically be Cassidyās anger manager. And sort of, he said, āIf I were the chairman ⦠my head would be exploding,ā which I believe is a line that Iāve been saying for the last several months. Whatās happening with Cassidy? Do we know? He canāt be happy with whatās happening here.
Ollstein: This was well previewed by everything Cassidy has sort of put out publicly since the confirmation hearing. If you track his press releases, theyāve been sort of selectively praising HHS for doing certain things and being silent on the things that we imagine he might not like on the vaccine front. And so that dynamic carried forward right into this hearing, which was the first opportunity for Congress to really grill Kennedy since heās taken office.
And so many people have pointed out that Cassidy is up for reelection. He is facing a primary challenge from the right. He wants to align himself with the Trump administration and with the sort of āMAGA [Make America great Again]ā movement. And he has pushed back on accusations that his treatment of Kennedy is influenced by that, but people can draw their own conclusions.
Kenen: I also wanted to point out that Kennedy insisted that he hadnāt fired any scientists, and he made that assertion a few times, which I think the Democrats, their jaws collectively dropped in unison. The cuts to NIH [the National Institutes of Health] have been extreme, in the billions. And in addition to the NIH scientists, there are also the ripple effect of training the next generation of scientists, because of the cuts to universities.
And also Kennedy, I sort of noticed at one point he was saying something about some universities donāt need this money, but then he mentioned specifically but Maine, where Susan Collins is the chair of the Appropriations Committee of the Senate, and Alabama, where Katie Britt has been, Sen. Katie Britt, has been sort of vocal about this, which is also, people donāt think of or may not realize that University of Alabama is a huge scientific center.
It is a powerhouse, but it is a state-funded university without such a big environment. Kennedy said: You know what? Weāre going to make these cuts. But maybe not Maine and Alabama. It was like ā talk about politics. But I think that they were really floored when he said over and over again that no scientists have been let go.
Rovner: You were right. There was also a lot of sort of ad hoc, If you have a particular problem, why donāt youā
Kenen: Call my office.
Rovner: ācall my office. Yeah. And we can take care of it. Which seemed just sort of mind-blowing to me. Itās like, this is how weāre making policy now. And somebody, I meant to go back and look at who, somebody in the morning at the House hearing, one of the Democrats, said, Is there a special phone number for Democrats to call your office to see if we can get some of these cuts restored? That literally seems to be how HHS is being run right now.
Ollstein: And I think itās reflected across the government. When Elon Musk was more involved directly with the DOGE [Department of Government Efficiency] stuff, he was reportedly telling Republican senators the same. Oh, if you have an issue, you know, just text me, just call me. And folks who study government pointed out that this smacks of the kind of personalism that has defined some authoritarian governments in the past where things happen more through favors than through normal government processes that are more transparent.
Kenen: And a phone call from your senator is not how you should be able to get back into a clinical trial. There was also a lot of exchanges about whatās happening to clinical trials and harm to patients, which he was ā there was some gaps there. And youāre watching him saying, Oh yeah, I can get her in. Just, you call me tomorrow. Call my office, to Sen. [Patty] Murray. And the state of him asserting that not much has changed and anything we got wrong weāll fix versus the fact that huge numbers of things have changed that have affected both patients and future patients.
One of the Democrats said: Whatās wrong with researching cancer and Alzheimerās, particularly if youāre trying to deal with chronic diseases? These are chronic conditions, and weāre gutting research into them. So there was a lot of disconnects. There was some, alsoā
Rovner: Itās not just cuts. They are pushing the āMake America Healthy Againā agenda. Just this week the FDA [Food and Drug Administration] is for kids. These are generally drops, tablets, and lozenges prescribed to kids who live in places that donāt have fluoridated water.
This move contradicts recommendations from both the CDC [Centers for Disease Control and Prevention] and the U.S. Preventive Health Services Task Force. And RFK was taken to task at the House hearing by Congressman Mike Simpson of Idaho, whoās one of a handful of dentists in the chamber. I have to say I didnāt have eliminating fluoride on my 2025 public health bingo card.
Ollstein: Yes. And I think that this is raising concerns for a few reasons. One, the public health impact. This goes against decades of research and evidence and the medical communityās consensus. But this also is moving sort of beyond the personal-choice, medical freedom kind of framing that has been used to argue about fluoridating public water. This is taking away a parentās choice, potentially. If they want these supplements for their kids, theyāre not going to be available any longer. And this is exactly what people fear could extend into the vaccine space. Itās not just that itās going to not have mandates for schools or rules around that, that it wonāt even be an option for the people who want it.
Rovner: All right, well, moving on to abortion, the one piece of potential news out of the Kennedy hearings came in response to a question from the aforementioned Sen. Josh Hawley from Missouri about a new study claiming that the abortion pill mifepristone has way more complications than numerous studies over the past 40 years itās been in use have found. Alice, tell us about this particular study, which RFK Jr. suggested might prompt the FDA to change the status of the abortion pill.
Ollstein: So, one, itās not a study. Even its supporters admit in private that itās not a study. that a lot of these groups pushing this held recently to talk about how they hoped to use this information to influence government policy. And they noted that because this is something that a conservative think tank just put out themselves, they did not submit it to a medical journal. It did not go through peer review.
So they said directly that it is not a study in the traditional sense. Still, you have senators and now the secretary of health and human services referring to it as a study and calling for policy changes based on it. So I want people to keep that in mind as this is discussed going forward. These drugs have been available for 25 years now. There have been lots of more rigorous, peer-reviewed studies that have found them to be overwhelmingly safe and effective.
Some of this new data actually aligns with some of the findings from those previous, more rigorous studies, but their own unique definitions of certain things, calling some things adverse events when the FDA does not consider that to be so, and so medical experts told me, including some from Ā鶹ŮÓÅ, that this has so many red flags that they think it could never have been published in a credible medical journal.
Rovner: And just to clarify, while weāre talking about different time periods: Itās been available in the U.S. for 25 years.
Ollstein: Yes.
Rovner: Itās been available internationally since the 1980s.
Ollstein: Right. Right.
Rovner: So, it has been well studied for quite a long time. Well, in other abortion news this week, the Texas Legislature is moving forward with a new piece of anti-abortion legislation that canāt be challenged in court, this one aimed at the abortion pill. Alice, this is like Chapter 2 in Texas trying to figure out how they can ban abortion-related things without anybody challenging the law, right?
Ollstein: Thereās a lot of different moving parts right now. Thereās that. Thereās the new case thatās also pending in Texas, brought by three GOP states seeking to impose national restrictions on abortion pills. Thereās this new review that the FDA is allegedly going to undertake around dispensing rules. And so this has been an overwhelming focus of the anti-abortion movement since even before Dobbs, but especially now.
They know that the ability of people to get these pills prescribed online, sent by mail, is the primary way that people are getting around state bans, other than travel, which is not always possible for folks. And so there are just efforts going on in state legislatures, in Congress, in the FDA, in state courts and federal courts, all to impose restrictions.
And so itās a very throw-spaghetti-at-the-wall-and-see-what-sticks approach. But that has proven very effective for them over the decades. Arguably thatās how we got to where we are now, where abortion is banned in much of the country. So itās something to take seriously and watch carefully.
Rovner: And this is Texas trying again with this. Individuals can sue other individuals who they think have used the abortion pill. It does not require the involvement of the state to prosecute, which has not, I donāt think, spread beyond Texas at this point, but it would be Texasā second bite at this apple.
Kenen: But the proposed language in that bill is extraordinary. We at the state legislature of Texas is passing a bill and no court has the right to review whether it is constitutional, etc. It seems pretty extreme, right?
Rovner: Well, this was how Texas did their first ban.
Kenen: Right.
Rovner: Remember that the Supreme Court allowed it to stand because they werenāt quite sure what to do with it.
Kenen: But that was also because they did unique legal things in terms of, they sort of created a legal structure. This, the language is in the bill ā and no court can double-check us.
Rovner: Yeah.
Kenen: So, and then what else can they use that for, right? And apparently there are even some Republicans who are a little concerned about that language. And Iām not up on the exact makeup of constitutional views of the entire Texas Legislature.
Rovner: Yes. We should point out, it hasnāt passed the full legislature yet.
Kenen: No. Itās proposed.
Rovner: Just the Texas Senate. Itās passed the Senate. Weāre awaiting to see if it will pass the Texas House. All right, well, finally in this incredibly newsy week, just before he left for his overseas trip, President Trump unveiled what he touted as an enormous announcement that turned out to be an executive order basically wishing down drug prices by tying them to other countriesā price-controlled prices. Except this isnāt really going to happen anytime soon. Right, Julie?
Appleby: Well, it is interesting. Itās this āmost favored nationsā idea that we would tie drug prices in the United States to whatās paid by other countries where they have much stronger drug negotiation issues. And itās not clear how it works. So yeah, itās not clear what the path forward is with that.
Ollstein: The problem with saying drug prices are coming down is if they do not come down, people might be mad at you for saying theyāre coming down.
Rovner: I would say he did wish down the price of eggs. He said that egg prices were coming down when they werenāt, except now they are, because he had nothing to do with them going up or coming down. It had to do with the bird flu. And so now he can say, See, I got egg prices down.
Kenen: But theyāre still higher than they were when heā
Rovner: They are still higher than they were.
Kenen: But they have come down.
Rovner: But I will say, I was going to say, this is super-clever marketing. This is the one thing that President Trump is really, really good at. He hyped this announcement ahead of time. He actually got headlines insisting that this will really do something. I have had people tell me that theyāve had sort of their grown kids and stuff saying: Oh look, drug prices. Heās going to reduce drug prices. When in fact this is one of those executive orders that just doesnāt really do anything.
Kenen: We donāt know whatās going to happen to drug prices over the next four years. Thereās a law on the books from the Biden administration. In his first administration, I think it mightāve even been a day or two before inauguration, he went on a tear against the drug companies. Remember, he called them killers or something like that. And he also came up with a list of something like 40-odd steps that he could take. And I think half of them had a question mark after them. So heās been mad at drug prices for a while now. He did not achieve that in the first administration. Thatās bipartisan. Thereās no Americans who want to pay higher prices for drugs, unless maybe they work for a drug company. People want moreā
Rovner: Right. Itās an 80/20 issue ā 80% of people want drug prices down.
Kenen: Right.
Rovner: Thatās probably more than an 80/20 issue.
Kenen: There could be some room for bipartisanship on drugs. Thereās not a lot of room for bipartisanship, but thatās particularly if heās not trying to repeal what [President Joe] Biden did, if that stays or gets built on. We donāt know whatās going to happen. But no, you canāt just sign an executive order. Itās not a magic wand.
Rovner: And I donāt think weāre going to be importing other countriesā price controls anytime soon. Iām going to go on a limb on that one. All right, that is this weekās news. Now it is time for our extra-credit segment. Thatās where we each recognize a story we read this week we think you should read, too. Donāt worry if you miss it. Weāll put the links in our show notes on your phone or other mobile device. Alice, I want you to go first this week because you have a story thatās directly relevant to something that we talked about in the Medicaid discussion.
Ollstein: Yeah. So I have this great story from ProPublica [āā] about Medicaid work requirements and about how the small-business owner that Georgia decided to make the face of its program, and they filmed a video of him praising it, even he multiple times lost his coverage, even though he tried to do everything right. He logged his work hours. He signed up for alerts. And just because of bureaucratic things and falling through the cracks, two times he lost his coverage and he had to plead for someone to intervene to get him his benefits back. And he has really soured on all of this, even though he was the face of selling it that the governor used. So I think this is a great example of what could happen as this is debated as a national policy.
Rovner: And I will say, I learned about this ProPublica story from the markup, where a number of members brought it up. Heās now the poster child for what happens when you have work requirements, even if people are working. Joanne.
Kenen: Thereās a great piece in The Atlantic by Nick Florko called ā.ā And although it is not in the headline, itās particularly romaine, which has periodically been in the news as being a source of harmful bacteria. And if you think you can just buy bagged lettuce and wash it yourself and itāll be safe ā no, that doesnāt work, either.
Basically it goes through like the equivalent of a salad woodchopper and there are all this different lettuce. All this lettuce goes through it. And once one blade gets contaminated, it all gets contaminated. So also, if you are a part of a marriage or one of you likes romaine and the other one would rather have red leaf, this is pretty good ammunition, right? But we should be going back to buying heads of lettuce, washing them yourself.
And theyāre not as safe and sanitary as it sounds, particularly as some issues are going on right now. And of course, we have less public notification and less monitoring and thereās less, less, less of food safety kinds of things coming down the pike at FDA. So itās even more timely.
Rovner: Itās a pretty vivid story. Julie.
Appleby: Thanks. Mine is also, the story Iāve picked is also along the same lines of cuts and what the perhaps unintended consequences were, but the consequences nonetheless. And itās from the Scientific American. Itās by Andrea Thompson. The headline is ā.ā&²Ō²ś²õ±č;
And it just talks about the National Weather Service with a lot of interesting facts that I didnāt know for sure, that how the improvements have been made in forecasting, why this is important, and how itās understaffed, and how these cuts are going to just make things worse. And it talks about it costs the average American, it says, about $4 a year for the National Weather Service. āItās a cup of coffee,ā said one person thatās being quoted.
And it said the National Weather Service provides an overall benefit of $100 billion to the economy. Aside from the fact that you might want a tornado warning ahead of time, that kind of thing, this is also just really important to quantify the overall value at a time when we are seeing a lot of hurricanes and tornadoes and other climate issues going on. So that would be my pick.
Kenen: But the Sharpie can just make it move.
Rovner: Yeah, thatās true. All right, my extra credit this week is what Joanne has dubbed āTheranos for Pets,ā though the actual headline in The New York Times is ā.ā And itās kind of a scary history-repeats-itself story. Even as Elizabeth Holmes herself remains in jail, having been convicted of fraud over her novel blood-testing company that was really cool but also didnāt work, her partner and the father of her two children, Billy Evans, is raising money for a new blood-testing company.
He’s called it Haemanthus ā I hope Iāve said that right ā which is a flower also called the blood lily. And unlike his incarcerated partner, Evans plans to start out by testing the blood of pets, then move to humans. As they say, what could possibly go wrong?
All right, that is this weekās show. As always, if you enjoy the podcast, you can subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. Weād appreciate it if you left us a review. That helps other people find us, too. Thanks as always to our editor, Emmarie Huetteman, and our producer, Francis Yang. Also, as always, you can email us your comments or questions. Weāre at whatthehealth@kff.org. Or you can still find me on X, , or on Bluesky, . Where are you guys hanging these days? Julie Appleby.
Appleby: Iām still on X, .
Rovner: Joanne.
Kenen: Iām only a little . Iām more on and , @joannekenen.
Rovner: Alice.
Ollstein: Mostly on Bluesky, , and still on X, .
Rovner: We will be back in your feed next week. Until then, be healthy.
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