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Shutdown Has Highlighted Washington鈥檚 Retreat From Big Ideas on Health Care

In the run-up to the 2020 election, all 20 Democratic promised voters they鈥檇 pursue bold changes to health care, such as a government-run insurance plan or expanding Medicare to cover every American.

Fast-forward to the congressional stalemate that has closed the federal government for more than a month. Democrats, entrenched on one side of the legislative battle, staked their political future on merely preserving parts of the Affordable Care Act 鈥 a far cry from the systemic health policy changes that party members once described as crucial for tackling the high price of care.

Democrats succeeded in focusing national attention on rising health insurance costs, vowing to hold up funding for the federal government until a deal could be made to extend the more generous tax subsidies that have cut premiums for Obamacare plans. Their doggedness could help them win votes in midterm elections next year.

But health care prices are rocketing, costly high-deductible plans are proliferating, and 4 in 10 adults have some form of health care debt. As health costs reach a crisis point, a yawning gulf exists between voters鈥 desire for more aggressive action and the political urgency in Washington for sweeping change.

鈥淭here isn鈥檛 a lot of eagerness among politicians,鈥 said , an economist who played a key role in drafting the ACA. 鈥淲hy aren鈥檛 they being more bold? Probably scars from the ACA fights. But health care is a winning issue. The truth is we need universal coverage and price regulation.鈥

Voters rank lowering health care costs as a top priority, above housing, jobs, immigration, and crime, according to a by Hart Research Associates for Families USA, a consumer health advocacy group.

And costs are climbing. Premiums for job-based health insurance rose 6% in 2025 to an average of $26,993 a year for family coverage, according to an annual survey of employers released Oct. 22 by 麻豆女优, a health information nonprofit that includes 麻豆女优 Health News. For all the attention given to grocery, gas, and energy prices, health premiums and deductibles in recent years have risen and wages.

Democratic Headwinds

The appetite for big, bold ideas to drive down such high costs has waned in part because Democrats lack political leverage, according to economists, political strategists, and health care advocates. They鈥檝e also been burned before for backing significant changes.

After the ACA was enacted in 2010, for example, a backlash over the law 鈥 and its mandate that most everyone have insurance 鈥 helped Republicans win the House and gain seats in the Senate. In 2016, Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton backed the , a proposed government-run plan that would compete against commercial insurance. She lost to Donald Trump.

Democrats are also outnumbered in Congress. Sweeping changes to health care, such as the creation of Medicaid and Medicare and passage of the ACA, when one party has controlled both Congress and the presidency. have all that muscle. So for now, Democrats are fighting to preserve the status quo while portraying Republicans as a threat to Americans鈥 insurance coverage.

If the ACA subsidies aren鈥檛 extended, many of the roughly 24 million people who buy coverage on the health law鈥檚 marketplaces will see their next year, according to 麻豆女优. A released Nov. 6 found that three-quarters of the public supported extending them.

鈥淭here鈥檚 no doubt people believe the current system needs reform,鈥 said , a Democratic strategist. 鈥淧rotecting people from premium increases is part of that. You don鈥檛 win the future by losing the present.鈥

Even bipartisan legislative proposals aimed at lowering health costs have fizzled in an environment defined by political threats and partisan social media attacks.

Bills that would have improved health care price transparency and reined in companies that manage prescription drug benefits gained traction in late 2024 as part of a spending package. Then Elon Musk, who was serving as a senior adviser to President-elect Trump, took to his social media platform, X, to rally opposition, deriding the budget bill for what he asserted was excessive government spending.

GOP leaders dropped the health provisions, prompting Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.) to say on X that Musk 鈥溾 the bipartisan health policies that Congress had hammered out.

But Democrats鈥 focus on health care has cut both ways. Their messaging amid efforts to save the ACA from repeal and to preserve the law鈥檚 protections for those with preexisting conditions helped the party in the 2018 midterm elections. 鈥淚 still have PTSD from the experience,鈥 Republican Mike Johnson, now the House speaker, .

And voters want relief. Six in 10 Americans are extremely or very worried about health care costs rising next year, according to an

, 56, is among them. The chief executive of GI Digital, a high-tech startup, felt a pain in his calf in late summer and asked OpenAI鈥檚 ChatGPT what it might be. It suggested he could have deep-vein thrombosis, or a blood clot. He went to the emergency room and obtained an ultrasound that confirmed the diagnosis, so doctors monitored him and gave him blood thinners.

His insurance was billed $7,422, and Wenzek got a bill for $890. The of an ultrasound is about $400 without insurance, according to GoodRx, a digital health platform.

鈥淭he hospital is making thousands for a procedure that costs $500. It鈥檚 kind of ridiculous,鈥 said Wenzek, of Sleepy Hollow, New York. 鈥淚 have a $40 copay just to go see a doctor for anything, and I鈥檓 on a startup budget.鈥

鈥楧efending the Status Quo鈥

The lack of bolder ideas to tackle spiraling costs could also work against Democrats, some critics say. Comedian and political commentator Jon Stewart, in an episode of his podcast in October, accused Democrats of committing 鈥渕alpractice鈥 by not presenting ideas to fix what people hate about the health care system. Instead, he said, they鈥檙e shutting the government down to protect a system that voters already believe is failing them.

鈥淥nce again, the Democrats are in a position of defending the status quo of policies that most people in the United States think suck,鈥 he said. 鈥淢eanwhile, on the same day, Trump rolls out TrumpRx. Hey, I鈥檒l just threaten Pfizer with 100% tariffs and then just open up a prescription drug outside of the middle managers and sell directly to the public at a discount.

, which is intended to help patients find lower-priced drugs, and pledges by Big Pharma to lower drug prices could help the GOP with voters, though Democrats are also hammering Republicans over the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, the bill the president signed into law in July that reduces Medicaid spending by about $1 trillion over a decade.

Republicans are promising fixes, using the shutdown to try to leverage voter frustration. Vice President JD Vance said on that 鈥渨e do have a plan, actually,鈥 in reference to a question about health care reform. (Trump has promised repeatedly that he would produce a plan to replace the ACA but never has.)

Senate Majority Leader John Thune in October that Trump wants to overhaul the ACA and 鈥済ive people health insurance that is higher-quality and more affordable.鈥

The White House did not respond to an email requesting comment from Vance.

鈥淚t鈥檚 not that Democrats are focusing on tax credits to the exclusion of bigger, bolder reforms,鈥 said , executive director of Families USA. 鈥淚f you can get the conversation on health care, if we can prevent premiums from spiking, then we can focus on why health care costs so darn much to begin with.鈥

But some Democrats say voters are hurting and want bigger and bolder ideas now. Earlier this year, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz that the party needs to offer more on health care in the next election.

鈥淚鈥檒l tell you what people are going to expect,鈥 he said. 鈥淭hey鈥檙e not going to expect us to tinker around the edge with the ACA. They鈥檙e going to expect universal health care.鈥

For now, at least, there are more innovative ideas in states. Oregon has established a governing board to set up a in which the state would take on health care financing 鈥 eliminating private insurance, premiums, and all deductibles for all residents as soon as 2027. The question is whether it will work. Vermont abandoned a similar effort in 2014.

鈥淲ith the political environment we鈥檙e in, there isn鈥檛 currently an appetite for big reform, but we know it needs to happen,鈥 said , the senior director of policy and strategy at Community Catalyst, a health advocacy group. 鈥淎cross party lines, people want government intervention in health care and people want universal coverage. The pain point that people are feeling, the public sentiment is where we were at before the ACA.鈥

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