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Post-鈥楻oe,鈥 Contraceptive Failures Carry Bigger Stakes


This story is a collaboration between KHN and . Listen to the conversation between KHN senior correspondent Sarah Varney and Science Friday producer Shoshannah Buxbaum.

Birth control options have improved over the decades. Oral contraceptives are now safer, with fewer side effects. Intrauterine devices can prevent pregnancy 99.6% of the time. But no prescription drug or medical device works flawlessly, and people鈥檚 use of contraception is inexact.

鈥淣o one walks into my office and says, 鈥業 plan on missing a pill,鈥欌 said obstetrician-gynecologist Dr. Mitchell Creinin.

鈥淭here is no such thing as perfect use, we are all real-life users,鈥 said Creinin, a professor at the University of California-Davis who wrote a that details contraceptive failure rates.

Even when the odds of contraception failure are small, the number of incidents can add up quickly. More than 47 million women of reproductive age in the United States use contraception and, depending on the birth control method, hundreds of thousands of unplanned pregnancies can occur each year. With most abortions outlawed in at least 13 states and legal battles underway in others, contraceptive failures now carry bigger stakes for tens of millions of Americans.

Researchers distinguish between the perfect use of birth control, when a method is used consistently and correctly every time, and typical use, when a method is used in real-life circumstances. No birth control, short of a complete female sterilization, has a 0.00% failure rate.

The failure rate for typical use of birth control pills is 7%. For every million women taking pills, 70,000 unplanned pregnancies could occur in a year. According to the most recent data available, more than 6.5 million women ages 15 to 49 use oral contraceptives, leading to about 460,000 unplanned pregnancies.

A chart is titled, "The typical use failure rate for birth control pills in 7%". A subtitle reads, "7 out of 100 women on pills could experience pregnancy in the first year of use." Below the text are 100 stick figures, 7 of which are highlighted in orange. Text underneath the figures reads, "460,000 unplanned pregnancies could occur in the nearly 6,580,000 women who take pills."
(Emma Lee Gometz/Science Friday)

Even seemingly minuscule failure rates of IUDs and birth control implants can lead to surprises.

An intrauterine device releases a hormone that thickens the mucus on the cervix. Sperm hit the brick wall of mucus and are unable to pass through the barrier. Implants are matchstick-sized plastic rods placed under the skin, which send a steady, low dose of hormone into the body that also thickens the cervical mucus and prevents the ovaries from releasing an egg. But not always. The hormonal IUD and implants fail to prevent pregnancy 0.1% to 0.4% of the time.

Some 4.8 million women use IUDs or implants in the U.S., leading to as many as 5,000 to 20,000 unplanned pregnancies a year.

鈥淲e鈥檝e had women come through here for abortions who had an IUD, and they were the one in a thousand,鈥 said Gordon Low, a nurse practitioner at the Planned Parenthood in Little Rock.

Dr. Janet Cathey (left) and Gordon Low, a nurse practitioner, work at Little Rock Planned Parenthood in Arkansas. Republican Gov. Asa Hutchinson expelled Planned Parenthood from Medicaid in 2017, leaving patients unable to get no-cost contraception at the clinic. (Sarah Varney/KHN)

Abortion has been outlawed in Arkansas since the Supreme Court鈥檚 ruling on Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization in late June. The only exception is when a patient鈥檚 death is considered imminent.

Those stakes are the new backdrop for couples making decisions about which form of contraception to choose or calculating the chances of pregnancy.

Another complication is the belief among many that contraceptives should work all the time, every time.

鈥淚n medicine, there is never anything that is 100%,鈥 said Dr. R茅gine Sitruk-Ware, a reproductive endocrinologist at the Population Council, a nonprofit research organization.

All sorts of factors interfere with contraceptive efficacy, said Sitruk-Ware. Certain medications for HIV and tuberculosis and the herbal supplement St. John鈥檚 wort can disrupt the liver鈥檚 processing of birth control pills. A medical provider might insert an IUD imprecisely into the uterus. Emergency contraception, including Plan B, is less effective in women weighing more than 165 pounds because the hormone in the medication is weight-dependent.

And life is hectic.

鈥淵ou may have a delay in taking your next pill,鈥 said Sitruk-Ware, or getting to the doctor to insert 鈥測our next vaginal ring.鈥

Using contraception consistently and correctly lessens the chance for a failure but Alina Salganicoff, , said that for many people access to birth control is anything but dependable. Birth control pills are needed month after month, year after year, but 鈥渢he vast majority of women can only get a one- to two-month supply,鈥 she said.

Even vasectomies can fail.

During a vasectomy, the surgeon cuts the tube that carries sperm to the semen.

The procedure is one of the most effective methods of birth control 鈥 the failure rate is 0.15% 鈥 and avoids the side effects of hormonal birth control. But even after the vas deferens is cut, cells in the body can heal themselves, including after a vasectomy.

鈥淚f you get a cut on your finger, the skin covers it back up,鈥 said Creinin. 鈥淒epending on how big the gap is and how the procedure is done, that tube may grow back together, and that鈥檚 one of the ways in which it fails.鈥

Researchers are testing reversible birth control methods for men, including a applied to the shoulders that suppresses sperm production. Among the 350 participants in the trial and their partners, so far zero pregnancies have occurred. It鈥檚 expected to take years for the new methods to reach the market and be available to consumers. Meanwhile, vasectomies and condoms remain the only contraception available for men, who remain fertile for much of their lives.

At 13%, the typical-use failure rate of condoms is among the highest of birth control methods. Condoms play a vital role in stopping the spread of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections, but they are often misused or tear. The typical-use failure rate means that for 1 million couples using condoms, 130,000 unplanned pregnancies could occur in one year.

A chart is titled, "Projected Number of Unplanned Pregnancies by Birth Control Method in the First Year of Use." It displays the dots for four birth control methods with the dots sized by proportion of how many unexpected pregnancies could occur. The largest dot represents male condoms, with 513,000 expected pregnancies. The second largest represents birth control pills, with 460,000 pregnancies. The third largest represents Depo-Provera, contraceptive ring, or patch users, with 102,000 pregnancies. The smallest dot represents IUD or implants, with between 5,000 to 20,000 pregnancies.
(Emma Lee Gometz/Science Friday)

Navigating the failure rates of birth control medicines and medical devices is just one aspect of preventing pregnancy. Ensuring a male sexual partner uses a condom can require negotiation or persuasion skills that can be difficult to navigate, said Jennifer Evans, an assistant teaching professor and health education specialist at Northeastern University.

Historically, women have had little to no say in whether to engage in sexual intercourse and limited autonomy over their bodies, complicating sexual-negotiation skills today, said Evans.

Part of Evans鈥 research focuses on men who coerce women into sex without a condom. One tactic known as 鈥渟tealthing鈥 is when a man puts on a condom but then removes it either before or during sexual intercourse without the other person鈥檚 knowledge or consent.

鈥淚n a lot of these stealthing cases women don鈥檛 necessarily know the condom has been used improperly,鈥 said Evans. 鈥淚t means they can鈥檛 engage in any kind of preventative behaviors like taking a Plan B or even going and getting an abortion in a timely manner.鈥

Evans has found that heterosexual men who engage in stealthing often have hostile attitudes toward women. They report that sex without a condom feels better or say they do it 鈥渇or the thrill of engaging in a behavior they know is not OK,鈥 she said. Evans cautions women who suspect a sexual partner will not use a condom correctly to not have sex with that person.

鈥淭he consequences were already severe before,鈥 said Evans, 鈥渂ut now that Roe v. Wade has been overturned, they鈥檙e even more right now.鈥

This story is a collaboration between KHN and Science Friday. Listen to the conversation between KHN senior correspondent Sarah Varney and Science Friday producer Shoshannah Buxbaum.

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