Morning Briefing
Summaries of health policy coverage from major news organizations
What About The CBO?
You might think of it as the legislative equivalent of flying into a storm without instruments. Two committees in the Republican-led House have begun drafting sweeping health legislation without the benefit of an objective estimate of its impact from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) 鈥 a reckless move, critics say, considering that they are dealing with the well-being of tens of millions of Americans and an industry that accounts for close to one-fifth of the economy. (Tumulty and Ehrenfreund, 3/8)
House Republican leaders are set to take the politically risky gamble Wednesday of asking their colleagues to vote on a bill replacing the Affordable Care Act without official estimates of the GOP plan鈥檚 cost or coverage losses. By moving ahead without an official 鈥渟core鈥 from the Congressional Budget Office 鈥 an estimate of how much the bill would cost and how many people might lose coverage over the next 10 years 鈥 Republican leaders are asking members to vote on a bill without independent verification that it achieves what it claims.聽(Hackman, 3/8)
President Donald Trump鈥檚 spokesman went out of his way to cast doubt on Congress鈥 budget experts, perhaps anticipating disappointing results from a coming cost analysis of a Trump-backed plan to 鈥渞epeal and replace鈥 former President Barack Obama鈥檚 health care law. Too far out of his way. Citing the Congressional Budget Office鈥檚 earlier estimates on the Obama law, spokesman Sean Spicer said Wednesday, 鈥淚f you鈥檙e looking at the CBO for accuracy, you鈥檙e looking in the wrong place.鈥 (Taylor, 3/9)
So how did the CBO do at assessing the Democrats' Affordable Care Act? In general, the office had hits and misses in its assessment, predicting the measure would cost more than its eventual price tag but also estimating it would expand access to health insurance to more people that it eventually did. ... "I don鈥檛 think that CBO is above criticism," said Douglas Elmendorf, who was the agency's director during the initial debate. In his view, he and his colleagues assumed that fewer people would be willing to pay the penalties associated with going without coverage under Obama's overhaul than in fact were, and that they the financial help available to purchase insurance would encourage more people to enroll than ultimately did. (Ehrenfreund and Guo, 3/8)