The party split in Congress is so slim that, even with Democrats technically in the majority, passing major health care legislation will be extremely difficult. So speculation about President-elect Joe Biden鈥檚 health agenda has focused on the things he can accomplish using executive authority. Although there is a long list of things he could do, even longer is the list of things he is being urged to undo 鈥 actions taken by President Donald Trump.
While Trump was not able to make good on his highest-profile health-related promises from his 2016 campaign 鈥 including repealing the Affordable Care Act and broadly lowering prescription drug prices 鈥 his administration did make substantial changes to the nation鈥檚 health care system using executive branch authority. And many of those changes are anathema to Democrats, particularly those aimed at hobbling the ACA.
For example, the Trump administration made it easier for those who buy their own insurance to purchase cheaper plans that don鈥檛 cover all the ACA benefits and may not cover preexisting conditions. It also eliminated protections from discrimination in health care to people who are transgender.
Trump鈥檚 use of tools like regulations, guidance and executive orders to modify health programs 鈥渨as like an attack by a thousand paper cuts,鈥 said Maura Calsyn, managing director of health policy at the Center for American Progress, a liberal-leaning think tank. Approaching the November election, she said, 鈥渢he administration was in the process of doing irreparable harm to the nation鈥檚 health care system.鈥
Reversing many of those changes will be a big part of Biden鈥檚 health agenda, in many cases coming even before trying to act on his own campaign pledges, such as creating a government-sponsored health plan for the ACA.
Chris Jennings, a health adviser to Presidents Barack Obama and Bill Clinton, said he refers to those Trump health policies as 鈥渂ird droppings. As in you have to clean up the bird droppings before you have a clean slate.鈥
Republicans, when they take over from a Democratic administration, think of their predecessor’s policies the same way.
Though changing policies made by the executive branch seems easy, that鈥檚 not always the case.
鈥淭hese are issue-by-issue determinations that must be made, and they require process evaluation, legal evaluation, resource consideration and timeliness,鈥 said Jennings. In other words, some policies will take more time and personnel resources than others. And health policies will have to compete for White House attention with policies the new administration will want to change on anything from the environment to immigration to education.
Even within health care, issues as diverse as the operations of the ACA marketplaces, women鈥檚 reproductive health and stem cell research will vie to be high on the list.
A Guide to Executive Actions
Some types of actions are easier to reverse than others.
Executive orders issued by the president, for example, can be summarily overturned by a new executive order. Agency 鈥済uidance鈥 can similarly be written over, although the Trump administration has worked .
Since the 1980s, for example, every time the presidency has changed parties, one of the incoming president鈥檚 first actions has been to issue an executive order to either or the 鈥淢exico City Policy鈥 that governs funding for international family planning organizations that 鈥減erform or promote鈥 abortion. Why do new administrations address abortion so quickly? Because the anniversary of the landmark Supreme Court abortion decision Roe v. Wade is two days after Inauguration Day, so the action is always politically timely.
Harder to change are formal regulations, such as one effectively banning Planned Parenthood from the . They are governed by a law, the Administrative Procedure Act, that lays out a very specific 鈥 and often time-consuming 鈥 process. 鈥淵ou have to cross your t鈥檚 and dot your legal i鈥檚,鈥 said Nicholas Bagley, who teaches administrative law at the University of Michigan Law School.
And if you don鈥檛? Then regulations can be challenged in court 鈥 as those of the Trump administration . That鈥檚 something Biden officials will take pains to avoid, said Calsyn. 鈥淚 would expect to see very deliberate notice and comment rule-making, considering the reshaped judiciary鈥 with so many Trump-appointed judges, she said.
What Comes First?
Undoing a previous administration鈥檚 actions is an exercise in trying to push many things through a very narrow tube in a short time. Department regulations have to go not just through the leadership in each department, but also through the Office of Management and Budget 鈥渇or a technical review, cost-benefit analysis and legal authority,鈥 said Bagley. 鈥淭hat can take time.鈥
Complicating matters, many health regulations emanate not just from the Department of Health and Human Services, but jointly from HHS and other departments, including Labor and Treasury, which likely means more time to negotiate decisions among multiple departments.
Finally, said Bagley, 鈥渇or really high-profile things, you鈥檝e got to get the president鈥檚 attention, and he鈥檚 got limited time, too.鈥 Anything pandemic-related is likely to come first, he said.
Some items get pushed to the front of the line because of calendar considerations, as with the abortion executive orders. Others need more immediate attention because they are part of active court cases.
鈥淵ou have all these court schedules and briefing schedules that will dictate the timeline where they make all these decisions,鈥 said Katie Keith, a health policy researcher and law professor at Georgetown University.
The Trump administration鈥檚 efforts to allow states to set work requirements for many low-income adults who gained Medicaid coverage under the Affordable Care Act鈥檚 expansion of the program is the highest-profile Trump action that falls into that latter category. The Supreme Court challenging HHS approval of work requirements for Arkansas and New Hampshire in the next few months. Some Democrats are concerned about how the high court, with its new conservative majority, might rule, and the Biden administration will have to move fast if officials decide they want to head off that case.
But court actions also might help the Biden administration short-circuit the onerous regulatory process. If a regulation the new administration wants to rewrite or repeal has already been blocked by a court, Biden officials can simply choose not to appeal that ruling. That鈥檚 what Trump did in in 2017.
Allowing a lower-court ruling to stand, however, is not a foolproof strategy. 鈥淭hat raises the possibility of having someone [else] intervene,鈥 said Keith. For example, Democratic attorneys general stepped in to defend the ACA in a case now pending at the Supreme Court when the Trump administration chose not to. 鈥淪o, you have to be pretty strategic about not appealing,鈥 she said.
Adding On?
One other big decision for the incoming administration is whether it wants to use the opportunity to tweak or add to Trump policies rather than eliminate them. 鈥淚s it undoing and full stop?鈥 asked Keith. 鈥淥r undoing and adding on?鈥
She said there is 鈥渁 full slate of ideologically neutral鈥 policies Trump put out, including ones on price transparency and prescription drugs. If Biden officials don鈥檛 want to keep those as they are, they can rewrite them and advance other policies at the same time, saving a round of regulatory effort.
But none of it is easy 鈥 or fast.
One big problem is just having enough bodies available to do the work. 鈥淭here was so much that undermined and hollowed out the federal workforce; there鈥檚 a lot of rebuilding that needs to done,鈥 said Calsyn of the Center for American Progress. And Trump officials ran so roughshod over the regulatory process in many cases, she said, 鈥渆ven putting those processes back in place is going to be hard.鈥
Incoming officials will also have other time-sensitive work to do. Writing regulations for the newly passed will almost certainly be a giant political fight between insurers and health care providers, who will try to re-litigate the legislation as it is implemented. Rules for insurers who sell policies under the ACA will need to be written almost immediately after Biden takes office.
Anyone waiting for a particular Trump policy to be wiped from the books will likely have to pack their patience. But law professor Bagley said he鈥檚 optimistic it will all get done.
鈥淥ne of the things we鈥檝e grown unaccustomed to is a competent administration,鈥 he said. 鈥淲hen people are competent, they can do a lot of things pretty quickly.鈥
Clarification: This story was updated on Jan. 8, 2021, at 3:15 pm. ET to clarify that the Center for American Progress is nonpartisan but is a liberal-leaning think tank.