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It鈥檚 Time to Get Back to Normal? Not According to Science.
KHN & PolitiFact HealthCheck

It鈥檚 Time to Get Back to Normal? Not According to Science.

The science says 鈥渙pen the schools, stop wearing masks outside, and everyone at low risk should start living normal lives.鈥

鈥 by conservative talk show host Buck Sexton posted , Feb. 8.

A popular Facebook and by conservative radio host Buck Sexton claims scientific research indicates life should return to normal now despite the persistence of the covid-19 pandemic.

鈥淗ere鈥檚 what the science tells anyone who is being honest about it: open the schools, stop wearing masks outside, and everyone at low risk should start living normal lives. Not next fall, or next year 鈥 now,鈥 reads the blog post, posted to Facebook on Feb. 8.

The post was flagged as part of Facebook鈥檚 efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about PolitiFact鈥檚 with Facebook.)

KHN-PolitiFact messaged Sexton via his Facebook page to ask if he could provide evidence to back up the statement but got no response.

So we reviewed the scientific evidence and talked to public health experts about Sexton’s post. Overall, they disagreed, noting the ways in which it runs counter to current public health strategies.

Let’s take it point by point.

Opening the Schools

In March, when government and public health leaders realized the novel coronavirus was spreading throughout the U.S., many public institutions 鈥 including schools 鈥 were ordered to shut down to prevent further spread. Many students finished the 2020 spring semester remotely. Some jurisdictions did choose to reopen schools in fall 2020 and spring 2021, though others have remained remote.

Throughout the pandemic, researchers have studied whether in-person learning at schools contributes significantly to the spread of covid. The findings have shown that if K-12 schools adhere to mitigation measures 鈥 masking, physical distancing and frequent hand-washing 鈥 are adhered to, then there is a relatively low risk of transmission.

And getting kids back into the classroom is a for the Biden administration.

In a , Dr. Rochelle Walensky, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said data suggests 鈥渟chools can safely reopen.鈥 The CDC on Feb. 12 released on how schools should approach reopening. It recommends the standard risk-mitigation measures, as well as universal masking, contact tracing, creating student learning cohorts or pods, conducting testing and monitoring community transmission of the virus.

, associate professor of epidemiology at Tulane University, said science shows that schools can open safely if 鈥渕itigation measures are implemented and maintained in the school space.鈥

Here鈥檚 some of the latest research that tracks with these positions:

  • were traced to in-school spread in 17 rural K-12 Wisconsin schools that had high mask-wearing compliance and were monitored over the 2020 fall semester.
  • most covid cases in children and teenagers were associated with gatherings outside of households and a lack of consistent mask use in schools, but not associated with merely attending school or child care.
  • were associated with attending school out of 100,000 students and staff members in 11 North Carolina schools, where students were required to wear masks, practice physical distancing and wash hands frequently.

Of course, there are some limitations to these studies, which often rely on contact tracing, a process that can鈥檛 always pinpoint where cases originate. Some of the studies also rely on self-reporting of mask-wearing by individuals, which could be inaccurate.

Additionally, Hassig pointed out that not all school districts have the resources, such as physical space, personnel or high-quality masks, to open safely.

Sexton鈥檚 assertion that schools can reopen leaves out a key piece of information: that safe reopening is highly dependent upon use of mitigation measures that have been shown to tamp down on virus spread.

‘Stop Wearing Masks Outside’

Because the coronavirus that causes covid is relatively new, the research on outdoor mask use is limited. But so far science has shown that masks prevent virus transmission.

The CDC study reported that a medical procedure mask (commonly known as a surgical mask) blocked 56.1% of simulated cough particles. A cloth mask blocked 51.4% of cough particles. And the effectiveness went up to 85.4% if a cloth mask was worn over a surgical mask.

Another experiment from the study showed that a person in a mask emits fewer aerosol particles that can be passed on to an unmasked person. And if both are masked, then aerosol exposure to both is reduced by more than 95%. A also show more generally that mask-wearing is effective at reducing the risk of spreading or catching other respiratory diseases.

Sexton鈥檚 post, however, advised that people should stop wearing masks outside. To be sure, public health experts agree the risk of transmitting covid is lower outdoors than indoors. But the experts also said that doesn鈥檛 mean people should stop wearing masks.

鈥淭he wind might help you a bit outside, but you are still at risk of breathing in this virus from people around you,鈥 said , director of the Arnhold Institute for Global Health at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai.

Being outside is 鈥渘ot a guarantee of safety,鈥 reiterated , an epidemiology professor at Columbia University Medical Center. 鈥淓specially when those people without masks are close together.鈥

The CDC addressed the issue of whether masks are needed outside in the : 鈥淢asks may not be necessary when you are outside by yourself away from others, or with other people who live in your household. However, some areas may have mask mandates while out in public, so please check for the rules in your local area.鈥

Overall, the prevailing scientific opinion is that, while it may be OK to go maskless outside if you are physically distant from others, mask-wearing is still recommended if you are around others.

‘Everyone at Low Risk Should Start Living Normal Lives’

All the public health experts we consulted agreed this part of the claim is absolutely false. It flies in the face of what scientists recommend should be done to get through the pandemic.

While it鈥檚 unclear what exactly the post means by 鈥渓ow-risk鈥 people, let鈥檚 assume it鈥檚 referring to younger people or those without health conditions that make them more vulnerable to covid. And that 鈥渓iving normal lives鈥 refers to no longer wearing masks, physical distancing or washing hands with increased frequency.

and show that bars, parties and other large gatherings can quickly become spreader events. Moreover, even young people and those without preexisting health conditions have gotten severely ill with covid or died of it.

Even if a low-risk person doesn鈥檛 get severely sick, they could still infect others in higher-risk groups.

The sentiment of this post is similar to calls early in the pandemic to let life return to normal in an attempt to achieve herd immunity. But, on the way to achieving that goal, many would die, said , associate director for global health policy at 麻豆女优.

鈥淓veryone going back to 鈥榥ormal鈥 right now, especially in the presence of more transmissible and more deadly variants, would be a recipe for further public health disasters on top of what we鈥檝e already experienced,鈥 he added.

Already have died of covid.

The push to 鈥渞eturn to normal鈥 is precisely what let the new variants form and multiply, said Vreeman. 鈥淚f we can ramp up getting people vaccinated and keep wearing masks in the meantime, only then will we have a chance at getting back to 鈥榥ormal.鈥欌

Indeed, because of the new variants circulating in the U.S., Walensky and Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, have urged Americans not to relax their efforts to control the virus鈥檚 spread.

Our Ruling

A blog post by conservative talk show host Buck Sexton claims scientific evidence shows that right now we should 鈥渙pen the schools, stop wearing masks outside, and everyone at low risk should start living normal lives.鈥

Scientific research shows that in order for schools to reopen safely, risk mitigation measures must be put in place, such as requiring masks, rigorous hand-washing and limiting the number of students in classrooms. These changes, though, would not represent a return to normal, but a new normal for students and teachers.

The remainder of Sexton鈥檚 statement strays further from current science. Research indicates that you鈥檙e safer outdoors than indoors, but public health experts still recommend wearing masks in public, even outside. Science does not support the idea that the time is right for some people to resume life as normal. That would allow the virus to continue to spread and have a large human cost in hospitalizations and deaths, said the experts.

Sexton鈥檚 post is inaccurate. We rate it False.

Source List:

ABC News, Nov. 19, 2020

American Academy of Pediatrics News, , Jan. 8, 2021

Buck Sexton website, Feb. 8, 2021

BMJ Global Health, , 2020

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, , Feb. 12, 2021

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, , updated Feb. 11, 2021

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, , Feb. 10, 2021

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, , Jan. 29, 2021

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, , Jan. 29, 2021

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, , Jan. 29, 2021

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, , Dec. 18, 2020

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, , Nov. 20, 2020

Chalkbeat, Jan. 4, 2021

The Conversation, Oct. 8, 2020

Email interview with , associate professor of epidemiology at Tulane University, Feb. 10, 2021

Email interview with , associate director for global health policy at Kaiser Family Foundation, Feb. 10, 2021

Email interview with , director of the Arnhold Institute for Global Health, Feb. 10, 2021

Email interview with , professor of epidemiology at Columbia University Medical Center, Feb. 10, 2021

Johns Hopkins University Medical Center, , updated Dec. 2, 2020

Kaiser Health News/PolitiFact, 鈥淪ocial Media Image About Mask Efficacy Right in Sentiment, but Percentages Are 鈥楤onkers,鈥欌 July 6, 2020

medRxiv, , April 16, 2020

Pediatrics, , January 2021

PNAS, , Jan. 26, 2021

The New York Times, July 3, 2020

The Washington Post, Jan. 26, 2021

The White House, , Feb. 3, 2021